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DecoderMomentum1 min read

RSI

Relative Strength Index

A bounded oscillator measuring how fast and far price has moved recently.

What it measures

RSI compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses, expressed as a number between 0 and 100. It answers a simple question: is this pair overbought or oversold relative to its recent trading range? The math uses a 14-period default window, though traders adjust it for different timeframes. A reading above 70 suggests buying pressure may be exhausted; below 30 suggests selling pressure may be exhausted.

The parts
01
Overbought zone
RSI above 70, indicating price has risen sharply and a pullback or reversal may be near.
02
Oversold zone
RSI below 30, indicating price has fallen sharply and a bounce or reversal may be near.
03
Midpoint
RSI at 50 represents neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.
How to read it
Bullish signal

RSI rises from oversold below 30, signaling momentum turning positive.

Bearish signal

RSI falls from overbought above 70, signaling momentum turning negative.

The catch
The catch

RSI can stay overbought or oversold for extended periods in strong trending markets, giving false signals if you treat it as a reversal timer. It also works better on mean-reverting pairs than on directional trends. The desk uses RSI to spot exhaustion, not to predict turns on its own.

We layer RSI with structure and volume to filter out noise and catch genuine momentum shifts in our morning scan.

See it in today's market.
The Morning Wire reports what moved currencies overnight, every weekday at 11:00 UTC.
Read today's Morning Wire →
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